Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004136 0.004350 0.004570 0.004813 0.005074 0.005347 0.005654
2025-08-31 0.003741 0.004056 0.004392 0.004781 0.005219 0.005699 0.006269
2025-09-07 0.003470 0.003836 0.004239 0.004718 0.005276 0.005909 0.006687
2025-09-14 0.003258 0.003657 0.004105 0.004651 0.005304 0.006065 0.007031
2025-09-21 0.003124 0.003554 0.004046 0.004658 0.005407 0.006302 0.007473
2025-09-28 0.002929 0.003366 0.003873 0.004514 0.005312 0.006287 0.007591
2025-10-05 0.002830 0.003285 0.003822 0.004511 0.005385 0.006476 0.007971
2025-10-12 0.002780 0.003260 0.003835 0.004585 0.005555 0.006791 0.008529
2025-10-19 0.002684 0.003174 0.003766 0.004550 0.005580 0.006916 0.008835
2025-10-26 0.002601 0.003099 0.003708 0.004525 0.005613 0.007050 0.009157
2025-11-02 0.002522 0.003025 0.003648 0.004492 0.005632 0.007163 0.009452
2025-11-09 0.002493 0.003014 0.003666 0.004561 0.005791 0.007472 0.010046
2025-11-16 0.002427 0.002953 0.003619 0.004543 0.005829 0.007617 0.010408
2025-11-23 0.002360 0.002889 0.003565 0.004512 0.005848 0.007734 0.010736
2025-11-30 0.002286 0.002814 0.003493 0.004454 0.005825 0.007786 0.010963
2025-12-07 0.002216 0.002741 0.003421 0.004393 0.005793 0.007822 0.011164
2025-12-14 0.002175 0.002706 0.003399 0.004399 0.005858 0.008006 0.011612
2025-12-21 0.002085 0.002602 0.003281 0.004266 0.005713 0.007862 0.011512
2025-12-28 0.002047 0.002567 0.003255 0.004263 0.005760 0.008014 0.011914
2026-01-04 0.002035 0.002568 0.003279 0.004331 0.005916 0.008342 0.012637
2026-01-11 0.001990 0.002521 0.003235 0.004299 0.005917 0.008425 0.012935
2026-01-18 0.001950 0.002481 0.003197 0.004275 0.005930 0.008526 0.013272
2026-01-25 0.001909 0.002438 0.003157 0.004245 0.005931 0.008606 0.013574